Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Feymer Technology Co., Ltd. (688350.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.49 - $4.43$2.35
Multi-Stage$1.14 - $1.25$1.19
Blended Fair Value$1.77
Current Price$22.61
Upside-92.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.52%12.26%0.270.230.380.390.310.520.040.280.650.87
YoY Growth--14.22%-39.20%-1.31%25.20%-40.31%1,090.68%-84.15%-57.64%-25.27%938.14%
Dividend Yield--2.02%1.75%1.83%2.03%1.36%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.510.940.57
Cash Retained (M)4.094.094.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.51-0.94-0.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.583.153.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)128.84128.84128.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate8.04%8.04%8.04%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Fair Value$1.49$2.35$4.43
Upside / Downside-93.43%-89.60%-80.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.567.998.458.939.449.9810.28
Payout Ratio45.86%54.69%63.52%72.34%81.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.464.375.366.467.668.989.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.04%8.04%8.04%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Year 1 PV (M)4.014.044.08
Year 2 PV (M)4.514.604.68
Year 3 PV (M)4.985.125.27
Year 4 PV (M)5.425.635.84
Year 5 PV (M)5.826.106.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)122.25128.20134.37
Equity Value (M)146.98153.69160.65
Shares Outstanding (M)128.84128.84128.84
Fair Value$1.14$1.19$1.25
Upside / Downside-94.95%-94.72%-94.49%

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