Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Lante Optics Co., Ltd. (688127.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.24 - $150.74$86.63
Multi-Stage$17.68 - $19.34$18.49
Blended Fair Value$52.56
Current Price$32.43
Upside62.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.14%32.62%0.210.160.150.150.160.080.100.010.050.01
YoY Growth--30.19%7.16%1.13%-5.53%95.70%-17.85%767.71%-78.82%370.58%-9.19%
Dividend Yield--0.74%0.74%0.70%0.92%0.78%0.23%0.28%0.00%0.15%0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)308.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)81.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)227.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.7838.6123.17
Cash Retained (M)227.23227.23227.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.78-38.61-23.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)165.45188.62204.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)407.51407.51407.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.610.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.24$86.63$150.74
Upside / Downside8.67%167.14%364.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)308.88328.96350.34373.12397.37423.20435.89
Payout Ratio26.44%39.15%51.86%64.57%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)81.66128.79181.69240.94307.12380.88403.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.32%7.32%7.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)118.88120.01121.13
Year 2 PV (M)154.82157.77160.74
Year 3 PV (M)189.51194.95200.49
Year 4 PV (M)222.98231.56240.38
Year 5 PV (M)255.26267.59280.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,262.006,564.466,878.49
Equity Value (M)7,203.457,536.337,881.63
Shares Outstanding (M)407.51407.51407.51
Fair Value$17.68$18.49$19.34
Upside / Downside-45.49%-42.97%-40.36%

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