Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Earth-Panda Advanced Magnetic Material Co.,Ltd. (688077.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.54 - $84.28$78.99
Multi-Stage$49.36 - $54.14$51.70
Blended Fair Value$65.34
Current Price$34.77
Upside87.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.01%13.26%0.400.690.710.310.140.150.140.120.090.13
YoY Growth---42.31%-3.39%126.06%132.39%-7.63%1.75%15.95%40.87%-31.77%13.21%
Dividend Yield--1.71%4.01%2.17%0.53%0.49%0.34%0.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.325.833.50
Cash Retained (M)8.928.928.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.32-5.83-3.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.403.095.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.00110.00110.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71.54$78.99$84.28
Upside / Downside105.74%127.17%142.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.6249.6552.8856.3159.9763.8765.79
Payout Ratio80.86%82.69%84.52%86.35%88.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.7041.0544.6948.6252.8857.4860.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.7940.1740.55
Year 2 PV (M)41.9942.7943.60
Year 3 PV (M)44.2845.5546.85
Year 4 PV (M)46.6848.4850.32
Year 5 PV (M)49.1951.5754.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,207.305,458.825,719.96
Equity Value (M)5,429.245,687.385,955.31
Shares Outstanding (M)110.00110.00110.00
Fair Value$49.36$51.70$54.14
Upside / Downside41.95%48.70%55.71%

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