Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sinopep-Allsino Bio Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (688076.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.57 - $383.39$123.56
Multi-Stage$40.69 - $44.45$42.54
Blended Fair Value$83.05
Current Price$41.58
Upside99.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.21%37.01%0.480.230.160.020.050.040.030.240.000.02
YoY Growth--106.11%42.00%571.38%-48.05%6.66%30.07%-85.82%0.00%-100.00%-13.17%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.62%0.81%0.08%0.06%0.06%0.04%0.31%0.00%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)498.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)288.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)99.7462.3437.40
Cash Retained (M)288.06288.06288.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-99.74-62.34-37.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)188.32225.72250.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)246.76246.76246.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.911.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.911.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.621.771.87
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$67.57$123.56$383.39
Upside / Downside62.52%197.16%822.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)498.69531.10565.62602.39641.54683.24703.74
Payout Ratio42.24%51.79%61.34%70.89%80.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.63275.05346.96427.06516.10614.92650.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)252.23254.62257.01
Year 2 PV (M)291.77297.33302.94
Year 3 PV (M)329.33338.79348.42
Year 4 PV (M)364.98379.01393.45
Year 5 PV (M)398.77418.03438.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,402.328,808.169,229.52
Equity Value (M)10,039.4110,495.9410,969.38
Shares Outstanding (M)246.76246.76246.76
Fair Value$40.69$42.54$44.45
Upside / Downside-2.15%2.30%6.91%

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