Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Eyebright Medical Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (688050.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.75 - $19.90$16.74
Multi-Stage$22.04 - $24.26$23.13
Blended Fair Value$19.94
Current Price$74.41
Upside-73.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.370.320.230.160.000.000.000.010.010.00
YoY Growth--14.98%38.08%45.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%24.12%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.38%0.44%0.21%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)360.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)345.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.1945.1227.07
Cash Retained (M)345.51345.51345.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.19-45.12-27.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)273.32300.39318.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)190.03190.03190.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.441.581.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.441.581.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.521.661.76
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.75$16.74$19.90
Upside / Downside-81.52%-77.50%-73.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)360.97357.36353.79350.25346.74343.28353.58
Payout Ratio4.28%21.43%38.57%55.71%72.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.4676.57136.45195.13252.63308.95327.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)69.6470.3671.07
Year 2 PV (M)112.90115.21117.55
Year 3 PV (M)146.85151.39156.03
Year 4 PV (M)172.93180.10187.49
Year 5 PV (M)192.37202.39212.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,494.463,676.433,865.90
Equity Value (M)4,189.174,395.884,610.85
Shares Outstanding (M)190.03190.03190.03
Fair Value$22.04$23.13$24.26
Upside / Downside-70.37%-68.91%-67.39%

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