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Definitive Analysis

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Chino Corporation (6850.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,113.29 - $21,341.13$19,999.48
Multi-Stage$14,340.68 - $15,744.27$15,029.33
Blended Fair Value$17,514.41
Current Price$1,300.00
Upside1,247.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.68%6.30%32.3935.8022.8722.4022.4222.3719.8917.5420.1217.79
YoY Growth---9.52%56.56%2.10%-0.08%0.20%12.46%13.43%-12.81%13.10%1.17%
Dividend Yield--2.66%2.71%1.85%2.70%2.95%3.22%2.91%2.06%3.23%3.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,828.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,658.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)365.60228.50137.10
Cash Retained (M)1,658.501,658.501,658.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-365.60-228.50-137.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,292.901,430.001,521.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share76.0184.0789.44
LTM Dividend per Share9.979.979.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share76.0184.0789.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend85.9894.0499.41
WACC / Discount Rate-0.98%-0.98%-0.98%
Growth Rate5.34%6.34%7.34%
Fair Value$18,113.29$19,999.48$21,341.13
Upside / Downside1,293.33%1,438.42%1,541.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,828.001,943.902,067.142,198.202,337.562,485.762,560.34
Payout Ratio9.27%25.42%41.56%57.71%73.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.50494.10859.171,268.561,726.392,237.192,368.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.98%-0.98%-0.98%
Growth Rate5.34%6.34%7.34%
Year 1 PV (M)494.31499.00503.69
Year 2 PV (M)859.90876.31892.86
Year 3 PV (M)1,270.171,306.681,343.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,729.321,795.921,864.44
Year 5 PV (M)2,241.922,350.382,462.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)237,332.54248,813.53260,734.60
Equity Value (M)243,928.16255,641.82267,802.47
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
Fair Value$14,340.68$15,029.33$15,744.27
Upside / Downside1,003.13%1,056.10%1,111.10%

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