Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Grade Upon Technology Corp (6739.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$102.73 - $155.80$127.68
Multi-Stage$212.43 - $233.70$222.85
Blended Fair Value$175.27
Current Price$859.00
Upside-79.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%1.740.870.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--101.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.82%0.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)275.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.0034.3820.63
Cash Retained (M)158.99158.99158.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.00-34.38-20.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.98124.61138.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.3023.3023.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.465.355.94
LTM Dividend per Share4.984.984.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.465.355.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4410.3310.92
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$102.73$127.68$155.80
Upside / Downside-88.04%-85.14%-81.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)275.01272.26269.53266.84264.17261.53269.37
Payout Ratio42.19%51.75%61.31%70.88%80.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.02140.89165.26189.12212.49235.38249.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)130.34131.67133.00
Year 2 PV (M)141.43144.33147.26
Year 3 PV (M)149.72154.35159.08
Year 4 PV (M)155.62162.07168.72
Year 5 PV (M)159.47167.77176.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,213.894,433.324,661.79
Equity Value (M)4,950.475,193.525,446.27
Shares Outstanding (M)23.3023.3023.30
Fair Value$212.43$222.85$233.70
Upside / Downside-75.27%-74.06%-72.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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