Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mitsubishi Electric Corporation (6503.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31,166.82 - $36,740.81$34,421.77
Multi-Stage$18,887.54 - $20,785.90$19,818.46
Blended Fair Value$27,120.11
Current Price$3,111.00
Upside771.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.97%9.28%50.2946.7440.7541.3237.2641.4041.4033.1227.9427.94
YoY Growth--7.60%14.70%-1.40%10.92%-10.00%0.00%25.00%18.52%0.00%35.00%
Dividend Yield--1.62%1.83%2.01%2.85%2.31%2.96%2.80%2.25%1.73%2.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)394,787.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103,932.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)290,855.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78,957.4049,348.3829,609.03
Cash Retained (M)290,855.00290,855.00290,855.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-78,957.40-49,348.38-29,609.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)211,897.60241,506.63261,245.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,074.362,074.362,074.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share102.15116.42125.94
LTM Dividend per Share50.1050.1050.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share102.15116.42125.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend152.25166.53176.04
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Fair Value$31,166.82$34,421.77$36,740.81
Upside / Downside901.83%1,006.45%1,081.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)394,787.00408,018.49421,693.45435,826.72450,433.68465,530.20479,496.11
Payout Ratio26.33%39.06%51.80%64.53%77.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103,932.00159,375.60218,418.89281,240.89348,028.57418,977.18443,533.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Year 1 PV (M)154,440.99155,949.92157,458.85
Year 2 PV (M)205,102.86209,130.25213,196.80
Year 3 PV (M)255,917.95263,492.63271,215.31
Year 4 PV (M)306,886.62319,056.96331,585.76
Year 5 PV (M)358,009.20375,843.49394,381.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)37,899,251.4339,787,209.7341,749,668.64
Equity Value (M)39,179,609.0541,110,682.9943,117,506.89
Shares Outstanding (M)2,074.362,074.362,074.36
Fair Value$18,887.54$19,818.46$20,785.90
Upside / Downside507.12%537.04%568.14%

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