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Definitive Analysis

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YFC-Boneagle Electric Co., Ltd. (6220.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.00 - $10.66$8.71
Multi-Stage$15.43 - $16.94$16.17
Blended Fair Value$12.44
Current Price$19.10
Upside-34.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-14.00%0.00%0.812.990.120.910.731.710.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---73.04%2,456.50%-87.12%24.68%-57.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.41%12.40%0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)102.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.9814.368.62
Cash Retained (M)12.3512.3512.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.98-14.36-8.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.62-2.013.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)145.43145.43145.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.700.700.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.00$8.71$10.66
Upside / Downside-63.37%-54.38%-44.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.88113.73112.59111.47110.35109.25112.53
Payout Ratio89.25%89.40%89.55%89.70%89.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)102.52101.67100.8299.9899.1598.32104.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)94.1995.1596.11
Year 2 PV (M)86.5388.3190.10
Year 3 PV (M)79.5081.9584.46
Year 4 PV (M)73.0376.0679.18
Year 5 PV (M)67.0970.5974.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,843.461,939.452,039.40
Equity Value (M)2,243.802,351.512,463.48
Shares Outstanding (M)145.43145.43145.43
Fair Value$15.43$16.17$16.94
Upside / Downside-19.22%-15.34%-11.31%

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