Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yiwu Huading Nylon Co.,Ltd. (601113.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.64 - $3.95$3.26
Multi-Stage$6.53 - $7.20$6.86
Blended Fair Value$5.06
Current Price$4.21
Upside20.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.95%-1.14%0.080.030.030.050.060.160.050.080.080.07
YoY Growth--129.12%4.70%-40.42%-2.51%-64.12%193.08%-30.92%-4.42%14.08%-19.23%
Dividend Yield--1.81%1.03%0.85%1.24%1.73%6.17%0.61%1.12%1.56%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)352.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.4344.0226.41
Cash Retained (M)275.09275.09275.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.43-44.02-26.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)204.66231.07248.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.581,090.581,090.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-3.14%-2.14%-1.14%
Fair Value$2.64$3.26$3.95
Upside / Downside-37.30%-22.54%-6.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)352.16344.61337.22329.99322.91315.99325.47
Payout Ratio21.89%35.51%49.13%62.75%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.07122.37165.68207.08246.63284.39301.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-3.14%-2.14%-1.14%
Year 1 PV (M)113.90115.08116.25
Year 2 PV (M)143.55146.53149.54
Year 3 PV (M)167.01172.24177.57
Year 4 PV (M)185.14192.91200.92
Year 5 PV (M)198.72209.19220.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,308.866,641.346,987.69
Equity Value (M)7,117.187,477.287,852.07
Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.581,090.581,090.58
Fair Value$6.53$6.86$7.20
Upside / Downside55.01%62.86%71.02%

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