Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Jonjee Hi-tech Industrial & Commercial Holding Co., Ltd. (600872.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.56 - $17.40$13.60
Multi-Stage$11.70 - $12.83$12.25
Blended Fair Value$12.92
Current Price$18.36
Upside-29.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.97%16.22%0.380.000.300.700.290.310.190.140.100.11
YoY Growth--36,830.57%-99.66%-57.30%142.86%-6.61%66.56%28.57%40.00%-9.09%35.80%
Dividend Yield--1.83%0.00%0.81%2.50%0.60%0.65%0.51%0.62%0.65%0.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)696.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)683.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)139.3587.0952.26
Cash Retained (M)683.34683.34683.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-139.35-87.09-52.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)543.99596.24631.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)769.98769.98769.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.770.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.770.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.84
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate2.33%3.33%4.33%
Fair Value$10.56$13.60$17.40
Upside / Downside-42.50%-25.95%-5.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)696.75719.98743.97768.77794.40820.88845.50
Payout Ratio1.93%19.54%37.16%54.77%72.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.41140.68276.42421.06575.03738.79782.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate2.33%3.33%4.33%
Year 1 PV (M)127.41128.65129.90
Year 2 PV (M)226.72231.17235.67
Year 3 PV (M)312.75322.01331.45
Year 4 PV (M)386.81402.16417.95
Year 5 PV (M)450.08472.50495.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,502.067,875.858,264.38
Equity Value (M)9,005.849,432.349,875.17
Shares Outstanding (M)769.98769.98769.98
Fair Value$11.70$12.25$12.83
Upside / Downside-36.30%-33.28%-30.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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