Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wuxi Huaguang Environment & Energy Group Co.,Ltd. (600475.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.92 - $117.33$109.96
Multi-Stage$17.19 - $18.81$17.99
Blended Fair Value$63.97
Current Price$14.89
Upside329.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.99%39.05%0.720.340.260.340.210.130.070.060.040.03
YoY Growth--109.41%29.87%-21.39%57.59%59.62%91.67%20.00%56.08%40.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.59%3.07%2.29%4.46%2.53%1.90%1.10%0.80%0.34%0.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)567.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)306.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.4670.9142.55
Cash Retained (M)306.62306.62306.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.46-70.91-42.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)193.16235.71264.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)961.54961.54961.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.92$109.96$117.33
Upside / Downside221.84%638.47%688.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)567.29604.17643.44685.26729.80777.24800.56
Payout Ratio45.95%54.76%63.57%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.67330.84409.03495.99592.53699.52740.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)307.62310.54313.45
Year 2 PV (M)353.63360.36367.16
Year 3 PV (M)398.71410.16421.82
Year 4 PV (M)442.88459.91477.43
Year 5 PV (M)486.15509.63534.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,541.6715,244.0415,973.29
Equity Value (M)16,530.6617,294.6318,087.16
Shares Outstanding (M)961.54961.54961.54
Fair Value$17.19$17.99$18.81
Upside / Downside15.46%20.79%26.33%

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