Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Integral Corporation (5842.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,445.15 - $3,619.56$3,006.81
Multi-Stage$4,378.48 - $4,821.23$4,595.51
Blended Fair Value$3,801.16
Current Price$3,195.00
Upside18.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%11.390.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,736.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,135.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,601.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,147.201,342.00805.20
Cash Retained (M)9,601.009,601.009,601.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,147.20-1,342.00-805.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,453.808,259.008,795.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
LTM Dividend per Share32.4932.4932.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share213.37236.41251.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend245.86268.90284.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2,445.15$3,006.81$3,619.56
Upside / Downside-23.47%-5.89%13.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,736.0010,628.6410,522.3510,417.1310,312.9610,209.8310,516.12
Payout Ratio10.57%26.46%42.34%58.23%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,135.002,812.084,455.506,065.777,643.399,188.859,727.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,580.972,607.302,633.64
Year 2 PV (M)3,753.253,830.243,908.01
Year 3 PV (M)4,689.784,834.824,982.81
Year 4 PV (M)5,423.865,648.665,880.37
Year 5 PV (M)5,984.666,296.306,620.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)130,527.11137,323.96144,401.04
Equity Value (M)152,959.63160,541.27168,426.65
Shares Outstanding (M)34.9334.9334.93
Fair Value$4,378.48$4,595.51$4,821.23
Upside / Downside37.04%43.83%50.90%

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