Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Taiwan Allied Container Terminal Corp. (5601.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.04 - $2.75$2.40
Multi-Stage$2.53 - $2.73$2.63
Blended Fair Value$2.52
Current Price$38.10
Upside-93.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.12%0.00%0.390.480.260.250.210.300.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---19.81%84.52%4.08%19.05%-30.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%1.32%0.62%0.62%0.73%1.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.113.191.92
Cash Retained (M)2.882.882.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.11-3.19-1.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.24-0.320.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.3564.3564.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate16.52%16.52%16.52%
Growth Rate0.80%1.80%2.80%
Fair Value$2.04$2.40$2.75
Upside / Downside-94.65%-93.69%-92.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25.5626.0226.4826.9627.4527.9428.78
Payout Ratio88.75%89.00%89.25%89.50%89.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.6823.1523.6424.1324.6325.1526.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate16.52%16.52%16.52%
Growth Rate0.80%1.80%2.80%
Year 1 PV (M)19.6819.8720.07
Year 2 PV (M)17.0717.4117.75
Year 3 PV (M)14.8115.2515.71
Year 4 PV (M)12.8413.3613.89
Year 5 PV (M)11.1411.7112.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)87.2391.6496.23
Equity Value (M)162.76169.24175.94
Shares Outstanding (M)64.3564.3564.35
Fair Value$2.53$2.63$2.73
Upside / Downside-93.36%-93.10%-92.82%

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