Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daido Steel Co., Ltd. (5471.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,693.64 - $26,648.79$24,973.82
Multi-Stage$3,893.96 - $4,266.24$4,076.66
Blended Fair Value$14,525.24
Current Price$995.70
Upside1,358.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.43%15.43%48.0946.9840.8321.455.1524.5125.5524.5213.1117.67
YoY Growth--2.36%15.06%90.33%316.76%-79.00%-4.05%4.20%86.95%-25.77%54.29%
Dividend Yield--4.83%3.14%3.42%3.07%0.47%3.71%3.07%2.39%1.01%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,955.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,772.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,182.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,591.003,494.382,096.63
Cash Retained (M)25,182.5025,182.5025,182.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,591.00-3,494.38-2,096.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,591.5021,688.1323,085.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)208.62208.62208.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share93.91103.96110.66
LTM Dividend per Share13.2913.2913.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share93.91103.96110.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend107.20117.25123.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.47%6.47%6.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11,693.64$24,973.82$26,648.79
Upside / Downside1,074.41%2,408.17%2,576.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,955.0029,772.0831,707.2633,768.2335,963.1738,300.7739,449.80
Payout Ratio9.92%25.93%41.95%57.97%73.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,772.507,721.1413,301.4019,574.4626,606.8334,470.7036,491.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.47%6.47%6.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7,184.047,252.147,320.23
Year 2 PV (M)11,515.2111,734.5411,955.94
Year 3 PV (M)15,767.0916,219.7116,680.90
Year 4 PV (M)19,940.7820,707.6421,496.42
Year 5 PV (M)24,037.3425,198.3526,403.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)733,924.13769,372.94806,178.46
Equity Value (M)812,368.58850,485.31890,035.75
Shares Outstanding (M)208.62208.62208.62
Fair Value$3,893.96$4,076.66$4,266.24
Upside / Downside291.08%309.43%328.47%

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