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Definitive Analysis

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Niterra Co., Ltd. (5334.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39,322.96 - $96,146.01$90,102.89
Multi-Stage$14,007.30 - $15,331.04$14,657.01
Blended Fair Value$52,379.95
Current Price$5,714.00
Upside816.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS18.68%16.95%173.08166.58140.5685.1661.5973.5268.5254.5045.6142.74
YoY Growth--3.90%18.52%65.05%38.27%-16.22%7.29%25.72%19.49%6.73%18.19%
Dividend Yield--3.61%3.54%4.88%3.46%3.74%4.76%3.30%1.72%1.91%2.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95,982.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35,386.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)60,596.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,196.4011,997.757,198.65
Cash Retained (M)60,596.0060,596.0060,596.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,196.40-11,997.75-7,198.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)41,399.6048,598.2553,397.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)198.54198.54198.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share208.52244.78268.96
LTM Dividend per Share178.23178.23178.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share208.52244.78268.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend386.76423.02447.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39,322.96$90,102.89$96,146.01
Upside / Downside588.19%1,476.88%1,582.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95,982.00102,220.83108,865.18115,941.42123,477.61131,503.66135,448.77
Payout Ratio36.87%47.49%58.12%68.75%79.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35,386.0048,548.6263,272.8879,706.1798,008.46118,353.29125,290.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45,141.5745,569.4545,997.34
Year 2 PV (M)54,703.7555,745.7156,797.49
Year 3 PV (M)64,075.3965,914.7667,789.01
Year 4 PV (M)73,259.2876,076.6378,974.46
Year 5 PV (M)82,258.2086,231.3090,356.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,461,511.302,580,403.222,703,845.41
Equity Value (M)2,780,949.502,909,941.083,043,760.17
Shares Outstanding (M)198.54198.54198.54
Fair Value$14,007.30$14,657.01$15,331.04
Upside / Downside145.14%156.51%168.31%

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