Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Yokohama Rubber Co., Ltd. (5101.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32,573.77 - $79,623.67$74,619.04
Multi-Stage$11,504.82 - $12,597.49$12,041.10
Blended Fair Value$43,330.07
Current Price$3,972.00
Upside990.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.17%7.13%96.7167.4966.4664.4265.3862.3762.2957.2952.2754.46
YoY Growth--43.30%1.55%3.17%-1.48%4.83%0.13%8.72%9.61%-4.03%12.16%
Dividend Yield--2.81%1.75%2.38%3.81%3.30%4.64%2.97%2.33%2.40%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)63,875.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,717.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)48,158.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,775.007,984.384,790.63
Cash Retained (M)48,158.0048,158.0048,158.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,775.00-7,984.38-4,790.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)35,383.0040,173.6343,367.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.54159.54159.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share221.78251.81271.83
LTM Dividend per Share98.5198.5198.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share221.78251.81271.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend320.30350.32370.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32,573.77$74,619.04$79,623.67
Upside / Downside720.08%1,778.63%1,904.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)63,875.0068,026.8872,448.6277,157.7882,173.0487,514.2990,139.71
Payout Ratio24.61%37.68%50.76%63.84%76.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,717.0025,635.7236,777.4749,259.3463,208.4778,762.8683,379.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23,836.7124,062.6624,288.60
Year 2 PV (M)31,796.8132,402.4533,013.81
Year 3 PV (M)39,599.6340,736.4041,894.71
Year 4 PV (M)47,247.4849,064.4950,933.40
Year 5 PV (M)54,742.6457,386.7360,132.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,638,252.721,717,380.931,799,537.58
Equity Value (M)1,835,476.001,921,033.652,009,800.10
Shares Outstanding (M)159.54159.54159.54
Fair Value$11,504.82$12,041.10$12,597.49
Upside / Downside189.65%203.15%217.16%

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