Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samhyun (437730.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,853.18 - $2,624.45$2,234.01
Multi-Stage$2,754.92 - $3,025.74$2,887.71
Blended Fair Value$2,560.86
Current Price$14,110.00
Upside-81.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,189.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,585.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,603.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,837.831,148.65689.19
Cash Retained (M)7,603.997,603.997,603.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,837.83-1,148.65-689.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,766.156,455.346,914.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.4432.4432.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share177.76199.00213.17
LTM Dividend per Share48.8748.8748.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share177.76199.00213.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend226.62247.87262.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,853.18$2,234.01$2,624.45
Upside / Downside-86.87%-84.17%-81.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,189.169,097.279,006.308,916.248,827.078,738.809,000.97
Payout Ratio17.25%31.80%46.35%60.90%75.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,585.182,892.974,174.455,430.016,660.047,864.928,325.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,603.782,630.352,656.92
Year 2 PV (M)3,381.583,450.943,521.01
Year 3 PV (M)3,958.964,081.394,206.32
Year 4 PV (M)4,370.364,551.494,738.19
Year 5 PV (M)4,645.104,886.985,138.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,405.6674,071.8577,889.20
Equity Value (M)89,365.4393,673.0098,150.47
Shares Outstanding (M)32.4432.4432.44
Fair Value$2,754.92$2,887.71$3,025.74
Upside / Downside-80.48%-79.53%-78.56%

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