Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Uluru.Co.,Ltd. (3979.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201.30 - $301.84$248.95
Multi-Stage$392.93 - $432.21$412.19
Blended Fair Value$330.57
Current Price$433.00
Upside-23.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%8.740.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)666.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)241.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)425.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)133.3683.3550.01
Cash Retained (M)425.78425.78425.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-133.36-83.35-50.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)292.43342.44375.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.6827.6827.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.5712.3713.58
LTM Dividend per Share8.718.718.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.5712.3713.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.2721.0822.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$201.30$248.95$301.84
Upside / Downside-53.51%-42.51%-30.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)666.78660.12653.51646.98640.51634.10653.13
Payout Ratio36.14%46.91%57.69%68.46%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)241.00309.69376.99442.91507.47570.69604.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)285.49288.40291.31
Year 2 PV (M)320.36326.93333.57
Year 3 PV (M)346.96357.69368.64
Year 4 PV (M)366.46381.65397.31
Year 5 PV (M)379.91399.69420.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,176.119,653.9410,151.46
Equity Value (M)10,875.3011,408.3011,962.58
Shares Outstanding (M)27.6827.6827.68
Fair Value$392.93$412.19$432.21
Upside / Downside-9.25%-4.81%-0.18%

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