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Definitive Analysis

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NEXTIN, Inc. (348210.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,139.69 - $16,995.34$13,881.58
Multi-Stage$23,782.52 - $26,164.23$24,950.04
Blended Fair Value$19,415.81
Current Price$49,500.00
Upside-60.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%502.51486.64477.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.26%1.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.68%0.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,707.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,000.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,706.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,541.431,588.39953.04
Cash Retained (M)6,706.386,706.386,706.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,541.43-1,588.39-953.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,164.955,117.995,753.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.1410.1410.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share410.93504.96567.65
LTM Dividend per Share592.06592.06592.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share410.93504.96567.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,002.991,097.021,159.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11,139.69$13,881.58$16,995.34
Upside / Downside-77.50%-71.96%-65.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,707.1412,580.0712,454.2712,329.7212,206.4312,084.3612,446.89
Payout Ratio47.22%55.78%64.33%72.89%81.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,000.767,017.018,012.348,987.069,941.4910,875.9311,513.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6,502.436,568.786,635.13
Year 2 PV (M)6,880.287,021.417,163.97
Year 3 PV (M)7,151.357,372.517,598.18
Year 4 PV (M)7,330.697,634.517,947.68
Year 5 PV (M)7,431.617,818.598,221.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)205,749.00216,462.83227,618.39
Equity Value (M)241,045.35252,878.62265,184.88
Shares Outstanding (M)10.1410.1410.14
Fair Value$23,782.52$24,950.04$26,164.23
Upside / Downside-51.95%-49.60%-47.14%

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