Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SigmaStar Technology Ltd (301536.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.11 - $5.84$4.96
Multi-Stage$6.44 - $7.07$6.75
Blended Fair Value$5.86
Current Price$64.36
Upside-90.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.140.030.860.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--466.37%-97.10%88,597.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.24%0.06%1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)262.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.4432.7819.67
Cash Retained (M)158.64158.64158.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.44-32.78-19.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.20125.87138.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)426.45426.45426.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.11$4.96$5.84
Upside / Downside-93.62%-92.29%-90.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)262.21259.58256.99254.42251.87249.36256.84
Payout Ratio39.50%49.60%59.70%69.80%79.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.56128.75153.42177.58201.25224.42237.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)116.15117.33118.52
Year 2 PV (M)124.85127.41130.00
Year 3 PV (M)130.37134.40138.52
Year 4 PV (M)133.28138.81144.50
Year 5 PV (M)134.08141.06148.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,108.842,218.652,332.99
Equity Value (M)2,747.582,877.673,012.86
Shares Outstanding (M)426.45426.45426.45
Fair Value$6.44$6.75$7.07
Upside / Downside-89.99%-89.52%-89.02%

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