Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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GuangZhou Wahlap Technology Corporation Limited (301011.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.03 - $110.78$103.82
Multi-Stage$68.29 - $74.94$71.56
Blended Fair Value$87.69
Current Price$28.58
Upside206.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS36.98%20.67%0.220.040.150.060.070.040.000.020.030.03
YoY Growth--471.29%-75.40%176.47%-22.86%60.90%0.00%-100.00%-23.66%10.22%-20.46%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.22%0.62%0.24%0.20%0.12%0.00%0.00%0.08%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.3910.246.14
Cash Retained (M)51.3051.3051.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.39-10.24-6.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.9241.0645.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.09147.09147.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.280.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate0.98%0.98%0.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$94.03$103.82$110.78
Upside / Downside228.99%263.25%287.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.9387.2692.9398.97105.40112.25115.62
Payout Ratio37.38%47.91%58.43%68.95%79.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.6341.8054.3068.2483.77101.03106.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.98%0.98%0.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41.0141.4041.79
Year 2 PV (M)52.2653.2554.26
Year 3 PV (M)64.4366.2868.16
Year 4 PV (M)77.5980.5783.64
Year 5 PV (M)91.8096.23100.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,717.8410,187.2210,674.56
Equity Value (M)10,044.9310,524.9511,023.24
Shares Outstanding (M)147.09147.09147.09
Fair Value$68.29$71.56$74.94
Upside / Downside138.95%150.37%162.23%

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