DDM Analysis: 300995.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.31 - $1.87	$1.58
Multi-Stage	$2.25 - $2.46	$2.35
Blended Fair Value	$1.97
Current Price	$47.10
Upside	-95.82%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	5.46%	0.00%	0.13	0.12	0.24	0.26	0.01	0.10	0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	11.05%	-49.15%	-9.23%	3,027.47%	-91.86%	9.36%	3,037.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.51%	0.55%	1.11%	1.10%	0.02%	0.22%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	14.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.65

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.18	1.99	1.19
Cash Retained (M)	1.65	1.65	1.65
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.18	-1.99	-1.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1.53	-0.33	0.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	83.49	83.49	83.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.00	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.17	0.17	0.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.00	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.15	0.17	0.18
WACC / Discount Rate	9.43%	9.43%	9.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$1.31	$1.58	$1.87
Upside / Downside	-97.22%	-96.64%	-96.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15.91	15.75	15.59	15.44	15.28	15.13	15.58
Payout Ratio	89.60%	89.68%	89.76%	89.84%	89.92%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	14.25	14.12	13.99	13.87	13.74	13.62	14.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.43%	9.43%	9.43%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.78	12.91	13.04
Year 2 PV (M)	11.45	11.69	11.92
Year 3 PV (M)	10.26	10.58	10.91
Year 4 PV (M)	9.20	9.58	9.98
Year 5 PV (M)	8.25	8.68	9.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	135.79	142.86	150.23
Equity Value (M)	187.73	196.30	205.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	83.49	83.49	83.49
Fair Value	$2.25	$2.35	$2.46
Upside / Downside	-95.23%	-95.01%	-94.78%

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Guangdong Kitech New Material Holding Co.,Ltd. (300995.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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