Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Kangping Technology (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. (300907.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.15 - $48.71$26.77
Multi-Stage$11.40 - $12.46$11.92
Blended Fair Value$19.35
Current Price$35.94
Upside-46.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.54%0.00%0.920.290.030.520.010.610.010.520.860.00
YoY Growth--217.10%851.74%-94.16%7,194.04%-98.83%5,915.83%-98.06%-39.28%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.57%1.67%0.15%2.25%0.02%1.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.348.345.00
Cash Retained (M)56.9356.9356.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.34-8.34-5.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.5948.6051.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)95.9995.9995.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.510.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.510.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.92%8.92%8.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.15$26.77$48.71
Upside / Downside-52.27%-25.51%35.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.6871.0275.6380.5585.7991.3694.10
Payout Ratio14.62%29.70%44.77%59.85%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.7521.0933.8748.2164.2882.2387.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.92%8.92%8.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)19.1819.3719.55
Year 2 PV (M)28.0128.5529.09
Year 3 PV (M)36.2737.3138.37
Year 4 PV (M)43.9845.6747.41
Year 5 PV (M)51.1753.6456.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)915.34959.551,005.45
Equity Value (M)1,093.961,144.091,196.08
Shares Outstanding (M)95.9995.9995.99
Fair Value$11.40$11.92$12.46
Upside / Downside-68.29%-66.84%-65.33%

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