Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Rastar Environmental Protection Materials Co.,Ltd. (300834.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.42 - $5.31$4.29
Multi-Stage$4.66 - $5.12$4.88
Blended Fair Value$4.59
Current Price$22.90
Upside-79.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS3.99%0.00%0.250.382.300.000.260.200.150.170.000.00
YoY Growth---34.52%-83.68%105,995.79%-99.15%26.80%30.50%-7.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.94%8.76%0.01%0.51%0.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.158.224.93
Cash Retained (M)58.1458.1458.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.15-8.22-4.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.9949.9253.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)185.76185.76185.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.270.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate0.52%1.52%2.52%
Fair Value$3.42$4.29$5.31
Upside / Downside-85.07%-81.26%-76.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65.7566.7567.7768.8069.8570.9173.04
Payout Ratio11.57%27.26%42.94%58.63%74.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.6118.2029.1040.3451.9163.8267.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate0.52%1.52%2.52%
Year 1 PV (M)16.5516.7216.88
Year 2 PV (M)24.0824.5625.05
Year 3 PV (M)30.3631.2832.21
Year 4 PV (M)35.5436.9838.46
Year 5 PV (M)39.7541.7743.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)719.44755.95793.92
Equity Value (M)865.73907.25950.38
Shares Outstanding (M)185.76185.76185.76
Fair Value$4.66$4.88$5.12
Upside / Downside-79.65%-78.67%-77.66%

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