Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Penyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. (300664.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.65 - $52.06$17.49
Multi-Stage$7.38 - $8.08$7.72
Blended Fair Value$12.61
Current Price$5.25
Upside140.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.01%6.28%0.230.250.170.160.140.150.120.060.110.11
YoY Growth---6.40%45.63%4.06%20.91%-10.25%24.43%114.55%-47.53%-6.37%-8.93%
Dividend Yield--4.56%5.09%3.10%2.64%1.73%1.74%1.54%0.40%1.26%1.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)219.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.9127.4416.46
Cash Retained (M)167.47167.47167.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.91-27.44-16.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)123.56140.03151.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)741.73741.73741.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$9.65$17.49$52.06
Upside / Downside83.79%233.14%891.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)219.53231.12243.32256.16269.68283.92292.43
Payout Ratio23.72%36.97%50.23%63.49%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.0685.45122.22162.63206.96255.53270.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)79.2279.9880.74
Year 2 PV (M)105.05107.07109.12
Year 3 PV (M)129.60133.36137.20
Year 4 PV (M)152.91158.86164.98
Year 5 PV (M)175.02183.58192.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,828.685,064.705,309.85
Equity Value (M)5,470.485,727.555,994.35
Shares Outstanding (M)741.73741.73741.73
Fair Value$7.38$7.72$8.08
Upside / Downside40.48%47.08%53.93%

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