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Definitive Analysis

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China Harzone Industry Corp., Ltd (300527.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.03 - $0.04$0.04
Multi-Stage$0.06 - $0.06$0.06
Blended Fair Value$0.05
Current Price$8.20
Upside-99.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.78%-13.50%0.010.000.020.020.000.020.010.020.000.03
YoY Growth--1,204.82%-97.80%-12.94%2,404.95%-96.15%94.51%-34.90%447.59%-87.96%16.59%
Dividend Yield--0.07%0.01%0.26%0.28%0.01%0.28%0.09%0.13%0.03%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.321.450.87
Cash Retained (M)11.3011.3011.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.32-1.45-0.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.989.8510.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)979.90979.90979.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.010.010.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-15.97%-14.97%-13.97%
Fair Value$0.03$0.04$0.04
Upside / Downside-99.62%-99.57%-99.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.629.888.407.146.075.165.32
Payout Ratio2.70%20.16%37.62%55.08%72.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.311.993.163.934.404.654.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-15.97%-14.97%-13.97%
Year 1 PV (M)1.791.811.83
Year 2 PV (M)2.562.622.68
Year 3 PV (M)2.862.973.07
Year 4 PV (M)2.883.023.17
Year 5 PV (M)2.742.903.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)42.2044.7747.47
Equity Value (M)55.0358.1061.30
Shares Outstanding (M)979.90979.90979.90
Fair Value$0.06$0.06$0.06
Upside / Downside-99.32%-99.28%-99.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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