Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen V&T Technologies Co., Ltd. (300484.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.16 - $50.87$47.66
Multi-Stage$27.53 - $30.25$28.86
Blended Fair Value$38.26
Current Price$22.00
Upside73.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS197.36%18.71%0.160.360.260.070.000.000.100.150.080.02
YoY Growth---55.61%39.47%248.64%0.00%-100.00%-99.31%-33.33%100.00%212.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--0.81%2.42%1.81%0.59%0.00%0.01%0.76%0.74%0.21%0.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.826.764.06
Cash Retained (M)20.7420.7420.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.82-6.76-4.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.9313.9816.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.63207.63207.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate2.24%2.24%2.24%
Growth Rate3.56%4.56%5.56%
Fair Value$43.16$47.66$50.87
Upside / Downside96.19%116.65%131.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.0856.5559.1361.8364.6567.6069.63
Payout Ratio61.65%67.32%72.99%78.66%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.3438.0743.1648.6454.5260.8464.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.24%2.24%2.24%
Growth Rate3.56%4.56%5.56%
Year 1 PV (M)36.8837.2337.59
Year 2 PV (M)40.5041.2842.08
Year 3 PV (M)44.2145.5046.82
Year 4 PV (M)48.0149.8951.83
Year 5 PV (M)51.9054.4557.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,493.945,764.356,045.31
Equity Value (M)5,715.435,992.716,280.72
Shares Outstanding (M)207.63207.63207.63
Fair Value$27.53$28.86$30.25
Upside / Downside25.13%31.20%37.50%

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