Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Jindun Fans Co., Ltd (300411.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.02 - $0.03$0.03
Multi-Stage$0.04 - $0.04$0.04
Blended Fair Value$0.04
Current Price$12.81
Upside-99.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-34.82%-25.69%0.000.000.000.010.000.010.050.030.030.03
YoY Growth--1.44%-65.44%-41.39%33.15%-56.99%-77.64%44.66%14.95%2.92%13.94%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.01%0.05%0.09%0.07%0.10%0.38%0.17%0.14%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.280.800.48
Cash Retained (M)6.136.136.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.28-0.80-0.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.865.335.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)407.80407.80407.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.010.010.01
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-26.77%-25.77%-24.77%
Fair Value$0.02$0.03$0.03
Upside / Downside-99.81%-99.78%-99.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.384.743.522.611.941.441.48
Payout Ratio3.90%21.12%38.34%55.56%72.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.251.001.351.451.411.291.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-26.77%-25.77%-24.77%
Year 1 PV (M)0.900.910.92
Year 2 PV (M)1.081.111.14
Year 3 PV (M)1.051.091.13
Year 4 PV (M)0.910.961.02
Year 5 PV (M)0.750.800.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)11.3612.1512.99
Equity Value (M)16.0517.0318.07
Shares Outstanding (M)407.80407.80407.80
Fair Value$0.04$0.04$0.04
Upside / Downside-99.69%-99.67%-99.65%

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