Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sino Wealth Electronic Ltd. (300327.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.92 - $13.25$8.57
Multi-Stage$4.15 - $4.54$4.35
Blended Fair Value$6.46
Current Price$27.22
Upside-76.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.80%9.41%0.200.400.440.400.360.300.280.190.100.07
YoY Growth---49.21%-9.07%10.41%11.34%17.33%9.99%41.96%92.04%49.19%-17.50%
Dividend Yield--0.85%2.00%1.07%0.76%1.11%1.36%1.58%1.10%0.47%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.2412.657.59
Cash Retained (M)99.3499.3499.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.24-12.65-7.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)79.1086.6991.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)341.50341.50341.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.250.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.250.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.92$8.57$13.25
Upside / Downside-78.25%-68.53%-51.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.21107.79114.79122.25130.20138.66142.82
Payout Ratio1.85%19.48%37.11%54.74%72.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.8721.0042.6066.9294.23124.80132.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.9619.1419.31
Year 2 PV (M)34.7235.3836.05
Year 3 PV (M)49.2550.6652.10
Year 4 PV (M)62.6065.0167.48
Year 5 PV (M)74.8578.4782.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,178.401,235.311,294.41
Equity Value (M)1,418.771,483.961,551.58
Shares Outstanding (M)341.50341.50341.50
Fair Value$4.15$4.35$4.54
Upside / Downside-84.74%-84.04%-83.31%

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