Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangsu Yunyi Electric Co.,Ltd. (300304.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.10 - $96.73$90.65
Multi-Stage$70.59 - $77.49$73.98
Blended Fair Value$82.31
Current Price$13.73
Upside499.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.39%8.68%0.080.040.040.030.030.030.030.030.050.05
YoY Growth--119.78%-9.43%14.29%16.67%-0.70%-0.01%15.37%-50.00%13.41%33.33%
Dividend Yield--0.95%0.58%0.84%0.64%0.62%0.78%0.62%0.40%0.35%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)425.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)356.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.0153.1331.88
Cash Retained (M)356.21356.21356.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.01-53.13-31.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)271.20303.08324.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)873.90873.90873.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate-2.47%-2.47%-2.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$82.10$90.65$96.73
Upside / Downside497.99%560.25%604.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)425.06452.69482.11513.45546.82582.37599.84
Payout Ratio16.20%30.96%45.72%60.48%75.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.85140.14220.41310.53411.43524.13554.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-2.47%-2.47%-2.47%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)142.35143.70145.05
Year 2 PV (M)227.40231.74236.11
Year 3 PV (M)325.42334.76344.28
Year 4 PV (M)437.94454.78472.11
Year 5 PV (M)566.69594.06622.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)59,990.0762,887.6165,896.05
Equity Value (M)61,689.8764,646.6567,716.07
Shares Outstanding (M)873.90873.90873.90
Fair Value$70.59$73.98$77.49
Upside / Downside414.14%438.79%464.37%

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