Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhonghang Electronic Measuring Instruments Co.,Ltd (300114.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.38 - $2.00$1.68
Multi-Stage$2.23 - $2.45$2.34
Blended Fair Value$2.01
Current Price$71.78
Upside-97.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.030.050.050.050.050.050.040.040.02
YoY Growth---100.00%-40.00%-0.79%0.93%10.08%-10.00%15.34%21.92%108.00%-50.16%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.07%0.10%0.39%0.38%0.45%0.47%0.36%0.23%0.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.4614.048.42
Cash Retained (M)98.7998.7998.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.46-14.04-8.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)76.3384.7590.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)587.33587.33587.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.38$1.68$2.00
Upside / Downside-98.08%-97.66%-97.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.31111.19110.07108.97107.88106.80110.01
Payout Ratio12.04%27.63%43.22%58.82%74.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.5230.7247.5864.0980.2796.12101.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)27.9428.2228.51
Year 2 PV (M)39.3440.1540.96
Year 3 PV (M)48.1949.6851.20
Year 4 PV (M)54.8857.1659.50
Year 5 PV (M)59.7662.8766.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,079.181,135.381,193.89
Equity Value (M)1,309.291,373.451,440.17
Shares Outstanding (M)587.33587.33587.33
Fair Value$2.23$2.34$2.45
Upside / Downside-96.89%-96.74%-96.58%

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