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Definitive Analysis

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Air Busan Co., Ltd. (298690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23,527.40 - $89,390.99$68,392.95
Multi-Stage$10,896.59 - $11,932.19$11,404.87
Blended Fair Value$39,898.91
Current Price$2,145.00
Upside1,760.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.09%0.00%72.06106.0381.4754.8015.4444.5740.3241.1842.8942.89
YoY Growth---32.03%30.14%48.66%254.93%-65.36%10.55%-2.08%-3.99%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%3.69%2.04%0.93%0.21%0.80%0.49%0.42%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,402.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,741.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)46,660.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,480.406,550.253,930.15
Cash Retained (M)46,660.4746,660.4746,660.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,480.40-6,550.25-3,930.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)36,180.0740,110.2242,730.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)116.58116.58116.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share310.34344.05366.52
LTM Dividend per Share49.2549.2549.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share310.34344.05366.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend359.59393.30415.77
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23,527.40$68,392.95$89,390.99
Upside / Downside996.85%3,088.48%4,067.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,402.0055,808.1359,435.6663,298.9867,413.4171,795.2873,949.14
Payout Ratio10.96%26.77%42.57%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,741.5314,937.2525,304.1536,955.6450,014.9164,615.7568,402.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,814.4513,945.3914,076.34
Year 2 PV (M)21,643.0122,055.2522,471.38
Year 3 PV (M)29,232.7530,071.9130,926.99
Year 4 PV (M)36,589.0737,996.1839,443.49
Year 5 PV (M)43,717.2945,828.8548,021.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,125,357.841,179,713.041,236,148.55
Equity Value (M)1,270,354.401,329,610.631,391,087.97
Shares Outstanding (M)116.58116.58116.58
Fair Value$10,896.59$11,404.87$11,932.19
Upside / Downside408.00%431.70%456.28%

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