Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yokorei Co.,Ltd. (2874.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$409.59 - $695.87$534.15
Multi-Stage$818.33 - $898.72$857.76
Blended Fair Value$695.95
Current Price$1,215.00
Upside-42.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.91%3.17%24.0524.5223.0323.0323.0022.9824.4618.6917.8217.67
YoY Growth---1.94%6.48%0.00%0.15%0.07%-6.03%30.85%4.85%0.86%0.39%
Dividend Yield--1.98%2.88%2.20%2.15%2.75%2.67%2.45%2.04%1.53%1.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,979.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,430.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)549.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)395.80247.38148.43
Cash Retained (M)549.00549.00549.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-395.80-247.38-148.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.20301.63400.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.9658.9658.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.605.126.79
LTM Dividend per Share24.2524.2524.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.605.126.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.8529.3731.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Fair Value$409.59$534.15$695.87
Upside / Downside-66.29%-56.04%-42.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,979.001,994.212,009.542,024.982,040.552,056.232,117.92
Payout Ratio72.26%75.81%79.36%82.90%86.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,430.001,511.751,594.671,678.781,764.091,850.611,959.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-0.23%0.77%1.77%
Year 1 PV (M)1,407.921,422.031,436.15
Year 2 PV (M)1,383.151,411.011,439.16
Year 3 PV (M)1,356.091,397.281,439.29
Year 4 PV (M)1,327.131,381.151,436.79
Year 5 PV (M)1,296.601,362.901,431.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,480.0243,600.9245,807.70
Equity Value (M)48,250.9150,575.2952,990.97
Shares Outstanding (M)58.9658.9658.96
Fair Value$818.33$857.76$898.72
Upside / Downside-32.65%-29.40%-26.03%

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