Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd. (272210.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71,282.92 - $188,112.37$108,824.41
Multi-Stage$48,102.99 - $52,597.26$50,309.20
Blended Fair Value$79,566.80
Current Price$59,500.00
Upside33.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.04%18.41%267.02238.41152.58129.17174.2780.680.00495.7125.7555.08
YoY Growth--12.00%56.25%18.13%-25.88%116.00%0.00%-100.00%1,825.13%-53.25%11.73%
Dividend Yield--0.83%1.30%1.10%0.79%0.87%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)598,348.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65,447.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)532,900.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119,669.6874,793.5544,876.13
Cash Retained (M)532,900.75532,900.75532,900.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-119,669.68-74,793.55-44,876.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)413,231.07458,107.20488,024.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.08196.08196.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,107.452,336.322,488.89
LTM Dividend per Share333.78333.78333.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,107.452,336.322,488.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,441.232,670.092,822.67
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71,282.92$108,824.41$188,112.37
Upside / Downside19.80%82.90%216.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)598,348.39637,241.03678,661.70722,774.71769,755.06819,789.14844,382.82
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65,447.64170,464.78288,857.62421,921.32571,062.88737,810.23781,054.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)154,760.72156,227.65157,694.58
Year 2 PV (M)238,087.19242,622.09247,199.76
Year 3 PV (M)315,725.59324,788.94334,024.10
Year 4 PV (M)387,961.25402,881.14418,227.29
Year 5 PV (M)455,066.83477,046.73499,867.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,880,481.008,261,111.188,656,308.97
Equity Value (M)9,432,082.599,864,677.7310,313,322.55
Shares Outstanding (M)196.08196.08196.08
Fair Value$48,102.99$50,309.20$52,597.26
Upside / Downside-19.15%-15.45%-11.60%

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