Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Eastern Media International Corporation (2614.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.77 - $14.79$12.80
Multi-Stage$13.88 - $15.23$14.54
Blended Fair Value$13.67
Current Price$22.10
Upside-38.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.611.351.691.690.920.000.030.31
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%18.75%-20.00%0.00%84.24%0.00%-100.00%-91.63%-70.33%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%5.87%2.68%5.82%9.93%4.11%0.00%0.13%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)642.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)128.4080.2548.15
Cash Retained (M)566.83566.83566.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-128.40-80.25-48.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)438.43486.58518.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)329.51329.51329.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.331.481.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.331.481.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.561.701.80
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.77$12.80$14.79
Upside / Downside-51.27%-42.08%-33.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)642.01635.59629.23622.94616.71610.54628.86
Payout Ratio11.71%27.37%43.03%58.68%74.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.18173.95270.73365.57458.47549.49581.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)153.49155.05156.62
Year 2 PV (M)210.79215.12219.48
Year 3 PV (M)251.15258.92266.84
Year 4 PV (M)277.93289.45301.32
Year 5 PV (M)293.92309.23325.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,387.543,563.943,747.61
Equity Value (M)4,574.834,791.705,017.04
Shares Outstanding (M)329.51329.51329.51
Fair Value$13.88$14.54$15.23
Upside / Downside-37.18%-34.20%-31.10%

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