Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Twinhead International Corp. (2364.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.46 - $57.98$47.68
Multi-Stage$74.15 - $81.74$77.87
Blended Fair Value$62.77
Current Price$76.30
Upside-17.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.580.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-99.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%1.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)196.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)196.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.2724.5414.73
Cash Retained (M)196.34196.34196.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.27-24.54-14.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.07171.80181.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.4843.4843.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.613.954.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.613.954.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.613.954.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$38.46$47.68$57.98
Upside / Downside-49.59%-37.51%-24.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)196.34194.38192.43190.51188.60186.72192.32
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0034.9969.28102.88135.79168.05177.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)32.3132.6432.97
Year 2 PV (M)59.0760.2861.50
Year 3 PV (M)80.9983.5086.05
Year 4 PV (M)98.72102.81107.02
Year 5 PV (M)112.80118.67124.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,839.742,987.623,141.59
Equity Value (M)3,223.633,385.513,553.92
Shares Outstanding (M)43.4843.4843.48
Fair Value$74.15$77.87$81.74
Upside / Downside-2.82%2.06%7.14%

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