Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

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Sector

Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (2343.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.68 - $1.66$1.01
Multi-Stage$0.49 - $0.54$0.52
Blended Fair Value$0.76
Current Price$0.26
Upside197.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.70%18.18%0.010.040.130.020.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---69.80%-69.58%728.23%570.65%-40.92%52.46%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.14%
Dividend Yield--5.80%12.33%39.45%4.39%1.28%1.93%1.40%0.00%0.00%1.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)168.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.7121.0712.64
Cash Retained (M)86.0386.0386.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.71-21.07-12.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.3264.9673.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,371.335,371.335,371.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$0.68$1.01$1.66
Upside / Downside165.01%294.03%543.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)168.54179.49191.16203.58216.82230.91237.84
Payout Ratio48.96%57.16%65.37%73.58%81.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.51102.61124.97149.80177.34207.82220.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.38%9.38%9.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)92.9293.8094.68
Year 2 PV (M)102.49104.44106.41
Year 3 PV (M)111.26114.46117.71
Year 4 PV (M)119.29123.87128.59
Year 5 PV (M)126.60132.71139.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,099.062,200.442,305.71
Equity Value (M)2,651.622,769.732,892.17
Shares Outstanding (M)5,371.335,371.335,371.33
Fair Value$0.49$0.52$0.54
Upside / Downside91.90%100.45%109.31%

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