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CCID Consulting Company Limited (2176.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.37 - $22.98$21.54
Multi-Stage$3.15 - $3.45$3.30
Blended Fair Value$12.42
Current Price$1.28
Upside870.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS60.38%0.00%0.080.060.110.020.010.010.020.000.020.00
YoY Growth--20.70%-44.62%647.06%6.99%98.61%-62.28%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.31%9.14%39.02%5.56%87.05%38.46%178.67%0.00%119.39%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.1810.116.07
Cash Retained (M)27.4127.4127.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.18-10.11-6.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.2317.3021.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)699.97699.97699.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.37$21.54$22.98
Upside / Downside475.65%1,582.57%1,695.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.8986.1491.7497.71104.06110.82114.15
Payout Ratio66.12%70.89%75.67%80.45%85.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.4861.0769.4278.6088.6899.74105.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)56.6357.1757.71
Year 2 PV (M)59.7060.8461.98
Year 3 PV (M)62.6864.4866.31
Year 4 PV (M)65.5868.1070.70
Year 5 PV (M)68.4071.7075.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,893.661,985.122,080.09
Equity Value (M)2,206.652,307.412,411.92
Shares Outstanding (M)699.97699.97699.97
Fair Value$3.15$3.30$3.45
Upside / Downside146.29%157.54%169.20%

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