Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MicroPort NeuroTech Limited (2172.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.07 - $7.25$6.14
Multi-Stage$7.90 - $8.68$8.28
Blended Fair Value$7.21
Current Price$11.84
Upside-39.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.000.000.590.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.92%0.00%0.00%2.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)428.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)338.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.7053.5632.14
Cash Retained (M)338.26338.26338.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.70-53.56-32.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)252.55284.69306.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)579.64579.64579.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.68
WACC / Discount Rate9.44%9.44%9.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.07$6.14$7.25
Upside / Downside-57.20%-48.18%-38.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)428.52424.23419.99415.79411.63407.52419.74
Payout Ratio21.06%34.85%48.64%62.43%76.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90.26147.85204.27259.56313.72366.76388.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.44%9.44%9.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)133.73135.10136.46
Year 2 PV (M)167.14170.56174.03
Year 3 PV (M)192.10198.04204.10
Year 4 PV (M)210.01218.72227.69
Year 5 PV (M)222.09233.65245.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,652.533,842.724,040.76
Equity Value (M)4,577.594,798.795,028.73
Shares Outstanding (M)579.64579.64579.64
Fair Value$7.90$8.28$8.68
Upside / Downside-33.30%-30.08%-26.73%

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