Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Humedix Co., Ltd. (200670.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67,631.22 - $116,386.26$88,660.70
Multi-Stage$118,797.45 - $130,731.18$124,648.63
Blended Fair Value$106,654.66
Current Price$53,800.00
Upside98.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.18%0.00%577.25686.79364.83365.07461.93518.32500.14416.08251.820.00
YoY Growth---15.95%88.25%-0.07%-20.97%-10.88%3.64%20.20%65.23%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.48%2.35%1.58%1.68%1.89%3.00%1.78%1.00%0.94%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55,281.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,959.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)50,322.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,056.266,910.164,146.10
Cash Retained (M)50,322.0850,322.0850,322.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,056.26-6,910.16-4,146.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,265.8243,411.9246,175.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,809.444,211.684,479.84
LTM Dividend per Share481.13481.13481.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,809.444,211.684,479.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,290.574,692.814,960.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate0.18%1.18%2.18%
Fair Value$67,631.22$88,660.70$116,386.26
Upside / Downside25.71%64.80%116.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55,281.3155,932.0956,590.5357,256.7357,930.7658,612.7360,371.12
Payout Ratio8.97%25.18%41.38%57.59%73.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,959.2314,081.8623,418.6032,973.2142,749.5352,751.4655,843.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate0.18%1.18%2.18%
Year 1 PV (M)13,087.7313,218.3713,349.02
Year 2 PV (M)20,228.7420,634.6221,044.53
Year 3 PV (M)26,471.1827,271.8528,088.50
Year 4 PV (M)31,896.8233,189.6334,521.35
Year 5 PV (M)36,580.9138,443.5440,381.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,096,239.371,152,057.701,210,126.95
Equity Value (M)1,224,504.751,284,815.711,347,511.62
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
Fair Value$118,797.45$124,648.63$130,731.18
Upside / Downside120.81%131.69%142.99%

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