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Definitive Analysis

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SCHOTT Pharma AG & Co. KGaA (1SXP.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.24 - $10.54$8.84
Multi-Stage$12.12 - $13.33$12.71
Blended Fair Value$10.77
Current Price$28.45
Upside-62.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.130.080.260.290.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.67%64.79%-71.23%-9.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.60%0.37%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)146.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)122.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.3718.3611.02
Cash Retained (M)122.78122.78122.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.37-18.36-11.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.40104.42111.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.60150.60150.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.24$8.84$10.54
Upside / Downside-74.54%-68.93%-62.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)146.87145.40143.95142.51141.09139.67143.87
Payout Ratio16.41%31.13%45.84%60.56%75.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1045.2665.9986.31106.21125.71133.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)41.2741.6942.11
Year 2 PV (M)54.8856.0057.14
Year 3 PV (M)65.4467.4769.53
Year 4 PV (M)73.4476.4879.62
Year 5 PV (M)79.2683.3987.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,510.301,588.951,670.83
Equity Value (M)1,824.591,913.982,006.92
Shares Outstanding (M)150.60150.60150.60
Fair Value$12.12$12.71$13.33
Upside / Downside-57.42%-55.33%-53.16%

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