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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Tengy Environmental Technology Co., Ltd (1527.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.96 - $13.66$11.16
Multi-Stage$18.36 - $20.24$19.28
Blended Fair Value$15.22
Current Price$1.29
Upside1,080.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.02
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-93.62%
Dividend Yield--0.00%6.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)136.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)129.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.2617.0410.22
Cash Retained (M)129.57129.57129.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.26-17.04-10.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.30112.53119.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.00135.00135.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.830.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.830.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.880.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.96$11.16$13.66
Upside / Downside594.39%765.13%958.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)136.32134.95133.60132.27130.95129.64133.53
Payout Ratio4.95%21.96%38.97%55.98%72.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.7529.6452.0774.0495.58116.67123.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)27.4627.7428.02
Year 2 PV (M)44.7045.6246.54
Year 3 PV (M)58.9060.7262.58
Year 4 PV (M)70.4473.3676.37
Year 5 PV (M)79.6783.8288.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,197.692,312.132,431.29
Equity Value (M)2,478.862,603.392,732.94
Shares Outstanding (M)135.00135.00135.00
Fair Value$18.36$19.28$20.24
Upside / Downside1,323.41%1,394.91%1,469.30%

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