Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Meitu, Inc. (1357.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.75 - $59.45$33.35
Multi-Stage$7.04 - $7.70$7.36
Blended Fair Value$20.36
Current Price$8.24
Upside147.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%22.14%0.030.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--81.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.17%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,352.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)603.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)749.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)270.57169.11101.46
Cash Retained (M)749.69749.69749.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-270.57-169.11-101.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)479.12580.58648.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,525.574,525.574,525.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.75$33.35$59.45
Upside / Downside66.84%304.76%621.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,352.861,440.801,534.451,634.191,740.411,853.541,909.14
Payout Ratio44.58%53.67%62.75%71.83%80.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)603.17773.25962.881,173.901,408.291,668.181,765.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)713.64720.40727.17
Year 2 PV (M)820.15835.77851.54
Year 3 PV (M)922.81949.30976.30
Year 4 PV (M)1,021.721,061.021,101.43
Year 5 PV (M)1,116.981,170.931,226.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,275.2428,592.6529,960.47
Equity Value (M)31,870.5533,330.0834,843.86
Shares Outstanding (M)4,525.574,525.574,525.57
Fair Value$7.04$7.36$7.70
Upside / Downside-14.53%-10.62%-6.56%

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