Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Basler Kantonalbank (0QLU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$236.85 - $768.02$383.65
Multi-Stage$205.87 - $225.72$215.61
Blended Fair Value$299.63
Current Price$74.80
Upside300.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.34%3.76%2.432.222.062.062.062.062.241.892.001.69
YoY Growth--9.10%8.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-8.05%18.21%-5.08%18.09%0.79%
Dividend Yield--3.52%3.52%3.38%3.33%3.51%2.76%2.84%2.64%2.88%2.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)365.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)320.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.1745.7327.44
Cash Retained (M)320.42320.42320.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.17-45.73-27.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.25274.69292.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.8640.8640.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.056.727.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.056.727.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.167.838.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate3.89%4.89%5.89%
Fair Value$236.85$383.65$768.02
Upside / Downside216.64%412.91%926.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)365.86383.77402.55422.25442.92464.60478.53
Payout Ratio12.42%27.94%43.45%58.97%74.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.44107.21174.92248.99329.90418.14442.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate3.89%4.89%5.89%
Year 1 PV (M)99.21100.16101.12
Year 2 PV (M)149.78152.68155.60
Year 3 PV (M)197.30203.05208.91
Year 4 PV (M)241.89251.34261.06
Year 5 PV (M)283.70297.62312.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,440.937,805.998,185.24
Equity Value (M)8,412.818,810.849,224.02
Shares Outstanding (M)40.8640.8640.86
Fair Value$205.87$215.61$225.72
Upside / Downside175.23%188.25%201.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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