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Definitive Analysis

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Getinge AB (publ) (0GZV.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.85 - $162.25$124.04
Multi-Stage$138.24 - $151.43$144.71
Blended Fair Value$134.37
Current Price$202.50
Upside-33.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.16%2.14%4.504.254.003.001.501.001.561.822.512.54
YoY Growth--5.96%6.24%33.41%99.76%50.37%-35.85%-14.34%-27.74%-0.87%-30.41%
Dividend Yield--2.09%2.04%1.58%0.80%0.62%0.52%1.42%1.91%1.62%1.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,054.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,271.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)783.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)410.80256.75154.05
Cash Retained (M)783.00783.00783.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-410.80-256.75-154.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)372.20526.25628.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.37272.37272.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.371.932.31
LTM Dividend per Share4.674.674.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.371.932.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.036.606.98
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Fair Value$94.85$124.04$162.25
Upside / Downside-53.16%-38.75%-19.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,054.002,099.322,145.632,192.972,241.362,290.812,359.53
Payout Ratio61.88%67.50%73.13%78.75%84.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,271.001,417.111,569.051,727.001,891.162,061.732,182.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Year 1 PV (M)1,303.611,316.491,329.37
Year 2 PV (M)1,327.771,354.141,380.76
Year 3 PV (M)1,344.381,384.621,425.66
Year 4 PV (M)1,354.251,408.581,464.52
Year 5 PV (M)1,358.141,426.581,497.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,963.3332,523.5734,146.09
Equity Value (M)37,651.4839,413.9741,244.15
Shares Outstanding (M)272.37272.37272.37
Fair Value$138.24$144.71$151.43
Upside / Downside-31.74%-28.54%-25.22%

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