Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Medacta Group S.A. (0A05.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Equipment & ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.81 - $107.69$87.41
Multi-Stage$153.20 - $168.85$160.87
Blended Fair Value$124.14
Current Price$143.57
Upside-13.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.560.550.520.000.000.003.273.150.000.00
YoY Growth--1.27%6.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%3.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.49%0.41%0.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.83%3.84%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)124.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.2318.8911.34
Cash Retained (M)124.80124.80124.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.23-18.89-11.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.57105.91113.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.745.315.68
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.745.315.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.066.637.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$69.81$87.41$107.69
Upside / Downside-51.37%-39.11%-24.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.14149.63148.14146.65145.19143.74148.05
Payout Ratio17.43%31.94%46.46%60.97%75.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.3447.8068.8289.42109.60129.36136.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44.4344.8845.33
Year 2 PV (M)59.4560.6761.90
Year 3 PV (M)71.7974.0276.28
Year 4 PV (M)81.7985.1888.67
Year 5 PV (M)89.7394.4099.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,710.462,851.612,998.56
Equity Value (M)3,057.653,210.753,370.02
Shares Outstanding (M)19.9619.9619.96
Fair Value$153.20$160.87$168.85
Upside / Downside6.71%12.05%17.61%

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