Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

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Sector

Mongolian Mining Corporation (0975.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CoalSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.69 - $11.99$8.06
Multi-Stage$4.10 - $4.48$4.29
Blended Fair Value$6.17
Current Price$0.81
Upside663.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)321.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)300.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.3540.2224.13
Cash Retained (M)300.39300.39300.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.35-40.22-24.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)236.04260.17276.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,052.701,052.701,052.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.250.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.270.28
WACC / Discount Rate10.03%10.03%10.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5.69$8.06$11.99
Upside / Downside603.43%896.39%1,382.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)321.74342.65364.93388.65413.91440.81454.04
Payout Ratio6.64%23.31%39.98%56.65%73.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.3579.87145.90220.18303.51396.73419.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.03%10.03%10.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)71.9072.5873.26
Year 2 PV (M)118.25120.50122.78
Year 3 PV (M)160.66165.27169.97
Year 4 PV (M)199.37207.04214.92
Year 5 PV (M)234.62245.95257.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,530.613,701.143,878.20
Equity Value (M)4,315.414,512.494,716.85
Shares Outstanding (M)1,052.701,052.701,052.70
Fair Value$4.10$4.29$4.48
Upside / Downside406.93%430.08%454.08%

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