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Definitive Analysis

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DongKook Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (086450.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$230,536.77 - $271,611.38$254,539.64
Multi-Stage$62,852.44 - $68,915.51$65,827.71
Blended Fair Value$160,183.67
Current Price$18,880.00
Upside748.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.32%12.82%186.74180.84180.81180.81160.72104.47102.6778.9859.2359.26
YoY Growth--3.26%0.02%0.00%12.50%53.85%1.75%30.00%33.33%-0.04%6.05%
Dividend Yield--1.28%1.07%1.16%0.84%0.57%0.67%0.86%0.57%0.46%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60,799.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,243.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)51,556.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,159.937,599.954,559.97
Cash Retained (M)51,556.0551,556.0551,556.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,159.93-7,599.95-4,559.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,396.1243,956.0946,996.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.5244.5244.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share884.95987.381,055.67
LTM Dividend per Share207.64207.64207.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share884.95987.381,055.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,092.591,195.021,263.31
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$230,536.77$254,539.64$271,611.38
Upside / Downside1,121.06%1,248.20%1,338.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60,799.6464,751.6168,960.4773,442.9078,216.6883,300.7785,799.79
Payout Ratio15.20%30.16%45.12%60.08%75.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,243.5919,530.8331,116.3544,125.4858,694.3374,970.6979,364.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.24%5.24%5.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18,383.5318,557.7818,732.04
Year 2 PV (M)27,568.0128,093.1028,623.15
Year 3 PV (M)36,797.1737,853.4838,929.82
Year 4 PV (M)46,071.1947,842.9649,665.34
Year 5 PV (M)55,390.2358,065.5960,843.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,613,839.012,740,088.412,871,169.67
Equity Value (M)2,798,049.132,930,501.333,067,963.37
Shares Outstanding (M)44.5244.5244.52
Fair Value$62,852.44$65,827.71$68,915.51
Upside / Downside232.90%248.66%265.02%

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