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Definitive Analysis

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LIG Nex1 Co., Ltd. (079550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$367,904.18 - $1,150,587.34$590,110.25
Multi-Stage$239,343.31 - $261,690.81$250,313.49
Blended Fair Value$420,211.87
Current Price$540,000.00
Upside-22.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.04%12.23%1,949.791,499.841,199.87894.77605.59504.66504.66948.77948.77578.07
YoY Growth--30.00%25.00%34.10%47.75%20.00%0.00%-46.81%0.00%64.13%-5.97%
Dividend Yield--0.79%0.84%1.66%1.24%1.51%2.61%1.27%1.97%1.21%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)304,883.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52,306.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)252,576.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60,976.6238,110.3922,866.23
Cash Retained (M)252,576.64252,576.64252,576.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-60,976.62-38,110.39-22,866.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)191,600.02214,466.25229,710.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.8021.8021.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share8,790.309,839.3710,538.75
LTM Dividend per Share2,399.742,399.742,399.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share8,790.309,839.3710,538.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend11,190.0412,239.1112,938.48
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$367,904.18$590,110.25$1,150,587.34
Upside / Downside-31.87%9.28%113.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)304,883.10324,700.50345,806.04368,283.43392,221.85417,716.27430,247.76
Payout Ratio17.16%31.72%46.29%60.86%75.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52,306.46103,011.20160,086.55224,146.48295,857.84375,944.65397,979.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.71%8.71%8.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93,869.0494,758.8095,648.55
Year 2 PV (M)132,932.37135,464.36138,020.24
Year 3 PV (M)169,607.79174,476.62179,437.74
Year 4 PV (M)204,002.22211,847.57219,917.05
Year 5 PV (M)236,218.37247,627.80259,473.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,380,276.494,591,845.484,811,511.72
Equity Value (M)5,216,906.285,456,020.635,704,009.20
Shares Outstanding (M)21.8021.8021.80
Fair Value$239,343.31$250,313.49$261,690.81
Upside / Downside-55.68%-53.65%-51.54%

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